Trump may do better in these states if convicted: poll [Video]

(NEXSTAR) – Now that the 2024 presidential election has narrowed to an expected rematch between incumbent Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, pollsters are closely monitoring the potential perils for Mr. Trump if he’s convicted in one of four pending criminal trials.

To this point, conventional wisdom and most polling results have pointed to dire outcomes for Trump if convicted, but new polling from Emerson College and The Hill suggests a more complex picture in the battleground states that will be key to winning the Electoral College.

Emerson surveyed 1,000 registered voters from each of the states most likely to swing the election. Voters from Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin were weighted by gender, age, race/ethnicity, education and voter turnout data to create a sampling of the expected electorate.

From those samples, the largest group of voters in each state said a conviction in his New York hush money trial would have …